China's Deflation Problem — Why the World's Second-Largest Economy Is Stuck
On August 24, a Chinese court sentenced Hui Ka Yan — the founder of Evergrande, once Asia's richest man — to life in prison. The property crisis he helped create is now entering its sixth year. China's GDP is $20.8 trillion. Deflation has persisted for ten consecutive quarters. Property investment has collapsed 50-80% from peak. Youth unemployment sits at 16.9%. Consumer prices rose just 1% in June — missing even modest expectations. Stimulus is not gaining traction. The world's second-largest economy is stuck — and the mechanism by which it got stuck is one of the most important macro stories of the decade.